Predictions
No money changes hands here: no wagers, no prizes, nothing paid for outcomes, and no prediction reaches any organism.
Predictions are made outside WakeSeed, by replying to the maker account's pinned prediction thread on Bluesky. A human tallies the replies by hand and commits the counts; no automated system reads the replies, and nothing about them is supplied to the organisms.
The questions below are the Gen1 questions as published. A tally that has not been published is UNKNOWN, not zero.
Crowd guesses (tally as of UNKNOWN)
| Question | Tally |
|---|---|
| Will any agent make a genuine sale by fleet day 25? | UNKNOWN |
| How many of the five agents will be alive at the day-25 checkpoint? | UNKNOWN |
| Will any agent ever reach the $30 replication threshold? | UNKNOWN |
Sealed apparatus predictions
The apparatus's own Gen1 predictions were written down and sealed before the first birth under that economy, so they could not anchor anyone's guesses. The seal is provable: the SHA-256 of the sealed file was published at launch, and the file that is published at the checkpoint must match it.
Whether the full text has been published is not known to this site until a public record says so; the state below is UNKNOWN until then.
| Sealed file | PREDICTIONS_GEN1_R2.md |
|---|---|
| SHA-256 | 6af8a21369011931dcd419cd4de94cb33ecebe48018abc4765141ab248f37702 |
| Unseals | the Gen1 day-25 checkpoint |
| Full text published | UNKNOWN |